January 28, 2004

NH UPDATE

With 60% of returns in, John Kerry is a winner:

Kerry 39%
Dean 25%
Clark 13%
Edwards 12%
Lieberman 9%

Special congratulations to Al Sharpton on his 187 votes.

Posted by Tim Blair at January 28, 2004 12:29 PM
Comments

better yet - the 24 write-in votes for Clinton (Bill or Hillary????)

Posted by: steve at January 28, 2004 at 12:40 PM

But did anyone vote for the Bennifer?

Posted by: Andrea Harris at January 28, 2004 at 12:48 PM

Get Dean's paramedics on standby.

Posted by: donnyc at January 28, 2004 at 12:49 PM

You know, for as many loudmouthed useful idiots as LaRouche seems to be able to command, you'd think that he'd get more than 60 votes...

Posted by: Vexorg at January 28, 2004 at 01:09 PM

Clark at only 13%?!?! WTF? Don't those puritanical New Englanders dig what Madonna said?

It's about her as a mother and the future of her children!!!

Posted by: JDB at January 28, 2004 at 01:09 PM

bennifer '04!

Posted by: lb at January 28, 2004 at 02:14 PM

Saddam is thinking, "What a bunch of losers, I got 100%."

Posted by: perfectsense at January 28, 2004 at 03:10 PM

FUCKIN' A RIGHT I GOT 25 PERCENT!!!!!! SOMEBODY STOP MEEEEEEE!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: HOWARD DEAN!!!! at January 28, 2004 at 03:22 PM

Sharpton is now up to 342 in the Dem primary ... plus 9 votes as a write-in candidate in the GOP primary.

BTW - almost 9% of voters in the GOP primary gave a write-in vote for a Dem candidate. Does anyone know if this is normal wacky NH behaviour?

Posted by: Mork at January 28, 2004 at 03:50 PM

Well, Steyn said it was gonna be:

1) Senator John Kerry 29 per cent
2) Governor Howard Dean 28 per cent
3) Senator John Edwards 19 per cent
4) Senator Joe Lieberman 12 per cent
5) General Wesley Clark 10 per cent
6) Everybody else 2 per cent

So, Kerry over-performed by 10%, Dean overperformed by 3%, Edwards overperformed by 7%, Clark and Lieberman had shockers and underperformed by 3% each.

What's Kerry's attraction at the moment? I don't get it.

Posted by: Quentin George at January 28, 2004 at 04:11 PM

Sorry, I'm illiterate. That should be Edwards who had the shocker - underperformed by 7%

Posted by: Quentin George at January 28, 2004 at 05:08 PM

Either a "surge" for Al Sharpie, or an embarrasment for Dick:
Kucinich (Dem) 3015 2%
Gephardt (Dem) 388 0%
Sharpton (Dem) 342 0%

Posted by: mojo at January 28, 2004 at 06:29 PM

Congrats to the Guardian for printing an opinion column by some clown predicting a 15% vote for Sharpton. Way to go guys...

Posted by: murph at January 28, 2004 at 06:38 PM

"Either a "surge" for Al Sharpie, or an embarrasment for Dick:
Kucinich (Dem) 3015 2%
Gephardt (Dem) 388 0%
Sharpton (Dem) 342 0%"

Well, Dick is officially out of the race, so his showing is hardly surprising...

Posted by: Döbeln at January 28, 2004 at 07:03 PM

Sharpton got the Federal Reserve vote.

Posted by: Ron Hardin at January 28, 2004 at 08:41 PM

It doesn't look good for Lieberman. I'd hoped he'd be one of the two front-runners.

Posted by: Andjam at January 28, 2004 at 10:12 PM

Nah, most of Sharpton's votes are simply the Don King look-a-like vote (i.e., they meant to vote for Don King, the boxing promoter, who is also not in the race).

Posted by: Jimmy Antley at January 28, 2004 at 10:34 PM

Mork:
"BTW - almost 9% of voters in the GOP primary gave a write-in vote for a Dem candidate. Does anyone know if this is normal wacky NH behaviour?"

It's normal behavior. It isn't perceived as wacky because people in NH consider it just being independent and doing what they, 'damn well feel like doing'. They take pride in being this way.

To question this sort of behavior is what, to many of them, would be considered strange. If there could be a picture of the 'stubborn, individualistic Yankee' in an encyclopedia it would show a picture of someone from NH.

Driving home tonight one of the people who participated in the write-in phoned into a talk show I was listening to. He said the write in was a protest against Bush. Trying to send a message to Bush that many Republicans are NOT pleased at all with some of Bush's policies. They want Bush to 'get the message' so Bush will stop doing what these Republicans dislike. US Deficit, jobs, immigration policy, and taxes were mentioned by the caller.

I'm surprised at Dean's strong showing. Have lots of co-workers, friends, and relatives who live in NH. They all indicated Dean was a raving lunatic who they'd never support and they didn't know anyone who would.

Posted by: Chris Josephson at January 28, 2004 at 11:55 PM

Hey now, no laughing, Sharpton probably got 90% of the democratic black vote in NH sewn up right there.

Posted by: Fred at January 29, 2004 at 02:59 AM

Hey, Dave Barry was right! He *did* finish within 2% of Kuchinich and Sharpton! :D

Posted by: rosignol at January 29, 2004 at 07:00 AM

Thanks Chris - though having done a little more digging, I'm not sure you're 100% correct that this level of "protest vote" is typical.

Bush ended with 85.5% of the vote in an uncontested primary. By way of comparison, Bill Clinton on 95% of the NH primary in 1996 (the last time a sitting president ran unopposed).

I wonder if the level of dissent (combined with the massive Dem turnout) is a warning bell for Bush.

Posted by: Mork at January 29, 2004 at 08:46 AM

Mork:

I didn't mean the level of protest vote was typical. I was commenting upon the behavior/mind-set of people in NH. Very independent. One example of that was a write in on the Republican ticket for a Dem. candidate.

People in NH would not find any sort of protest, ballot or otherwise, unusual. It's quite possible if there was a country-wide movement urging ballot protests, NH voters may have opted out and done something else.

They dislike being viewed as following trends. Goes against the grain of being independent. They like to decide what to do and dislike feeling that others decided it for them.

The independent thinking takes many forms in NH.

If I were Bush I'd be concerned. Not just because of NH, but if you read some of the conservative columnists, or listen to some of the talk shows .. there is a growing discontent among the Republican base with how Bush is handling immigration and spending.

Some of the conservative talk show hosts have been going nuts over what Bush has proposed with regards to 'guest' Mexican workers. (IMHO blowing things way out of proportion.) Pres. Bush has never been a favorite of many of the right of center Republicans and this is starting to be more evident.

Posted by: Chris Josephson at January 29, 2004 at 07:23 PM